Spenser Davis| 19 hours ago
LSU is just a couple of weeks away from kicking off the 2024 season.
ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) has updated its projections for every game on LSU’s schedule in 2024. The Tigers play an 8-game SEC schedule as well as a nonconference slate that includes west coast powers USC and UCLA.
Here’s a look at FPI’s win probabilities for LSU in each of its 12 regular-season games:
- Sept. 1: vs. USC (Las Vegas) — 54.6%
- Sept. 7: vs. Nicholls — 98.2%
- Sept. 14: at South Carolina — 63.%
- Sept. 21: vs. UCLA — 79.8%
- Sept. 28: vs. South Alabama — 90.4%
- Oct. 12: vs. Ole Miss — 62.1%
- Oct. 19: at Arkansas — 65%
- Oct. 26: at Texas A&M — 47.1%
- Nov. 9: vs. Alabama — 36.7%
- Nov. 16: at Florida — 53.4%
- Nov. 23: vs. Vanderbilt — 86.2%
- Nov. 30: vs. Oklahoma — 47.6%
RELATED: Will LSU make the College Football Playoff in 2024? Breaking down the betting odds
LSU is expected to be favored in each of its first 7 games this season, according to FPI. That could allow the Tigers to get off to a fast start in Year 3 under head coach Brian Kelly. It should also be a relatively friendly slate for a LSU program that has a revamped defensive coaching staff this fall, led by new defensive coordinator Blake Baker.
However, things do get tough for LSU down the stretch. The Tigers are considered underdogs per FPI in 3 of their final 5 games — and a Nov. 16 trip to Florida is a virtual toss-up at this stage. Per FPI, LSU is a home underdog twice in November: against Alabama and Oklahoma.
All of those projections equate to 7.84 projected wins for LSU this season, per FPI. Vegas doesn’t necessarily agree with this projection, however. DraftKings currently has LSU’s regular-season win total posted at 9.
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LSU and USC will kick off the 2024 season on Sunday, Sept. 1 at 7:30 p.m. ET in Las Vegas.
Attention Louisiana residents! Looking for a new sports betting app? Here’s a breakdown of all the best sports betting apps in Louisiana in 2024!
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ESPN's FPI predicts outcome of every game on LSU's 2024 schedule
Spenser Davis
Spenser is the news manager at Saturday Road and covers college football across all Saturday Football brands. Follow on Twitter.
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LSUSMC16 hours ago
LSU is favored in 9. I think we win at least that many.
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Mcat14 hours ago
I don’t see OU beating LSU in Death Valley.
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East10ec12 mins ago
I hope the folks in Baton Rouge gives OU fans a very warm southern welcome at the bars, restaurants and tail gates and then proceeds to show them why it just means more in the SEC (a night game at Death Valley will deliver the message).
We give them their first SEC game in Norman. I hope we provide a good introduction.
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Doug_from_AL.com5 hours ago
LSU football is just an above average football program. LSU is not good enough to win national championships right now.
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engine5 hours ago
I want to know what your definition of just above average is. There are 134 D1 schools so you are saying they are roughly 50th. They are well within the top 10 in talent, facilities, coaching staff, and recruiting. That is far from just above average.
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GeauxTigers84 hours ago
I believe LSU is good for at the minimum 9 wins and up to 11.
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bayou tiger3 hours ago
It depends on how long they want to play inspired football. If they lose to A&M and Alabama, it’s possible they could tank against Oklahoma. But I think they win that game, especially if they still have a shot at the playoffs. FPI is not very reliable. They probably overrate Oklahoma based on their standing in the Big 12. The SEC is a bit tougher.
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GeauxTigers83 hours ago
247sports has LSU losing to South Carolina, Alabama, and A&M.
Just about every site or publication predicts LSU to lose 3 games, regardless of who they are against.
I’m more in line of us losing 2 games, maybe even 1, definitely depending on the defense to be improved a good bit. I think losing 3 would have us on the fence of the CFP, but playing on New Year’s if they miss out.Log in to Reply
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